Lazio 1-1 Viktoria Plzen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 13 Mar 2025

📅13/03/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.75
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.07
6+ Goals
10%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.88
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.4
X/1
17%
4.04
X/2
11%
11.7
X/X
8%
5.84
2/1
7%
21.7
2/2
8%
9.54
2/X
6%
17.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.8pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.3pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lazio EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Plzen EU Bookmakers 20%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.28/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/1.68
-21% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
408 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
16.5 Crosses 10.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lazio
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Viktoria Plzen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.25 xG 1.61
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
273 Passes 359
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 28
9 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.03.2025 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 1-2 HT 0-1 Lazio Lazio AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lazio
1-1
AWAY Viktoria Plzen
0.90 xG 0.70
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 4
353 Passes 301
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 27
26 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lazio vs Viktoria Plzen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lazio and Viktoria Plzen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Lazio at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Lazio had 53% of the ball to Viktoria Plzen's 47%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 0.90 to 0.70.

What was the final score of Lazio vs Viktoria Plzen?

Lazio 1-1 Viktoria Plzen in the UEFA Europa League on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lazio vs Viktoria Plzen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lazio win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Lazio 52%, draw 23%, Viktoria Plzen 25%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lazio) ✗ Over 2.5
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