Tottenham vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tottenham v AZ Alkmaar — Team-Based Signals
Tottenham vs AZ Alkmaar Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Tottenham 3-1 AZ Alkmaar — Actual Match Statistics
Tottenham beat AZ Alkmaar 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tottenham as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Tottenham had 60% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar's 40%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 2.23 to 1.19.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tottenham and 0.50 for AZ Alkmaar.
What was the final score of Tottenham vs AZ Alkmaar?
Tottenham 3-1 AZ Alkmaar in the UEFA Europa League on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tottenham vs AZ Alkmaar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tottenham win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Tottenham 60%, draw 20%, AZ Alkmaar 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tottenham), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.