Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv v Septemvri Sofia — Team-Based Signals
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Septemvri Sofia
BUL1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 Septemvri Sofia — Actual Match Statistics
Lokomotiv Plovdiv squeezed past Septemvri Sofia 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Lokomotiv Plovdiv as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had 49% of the ball to Septemvri Sofia's 51%, shots finished 7-5.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.60 for Septemvri Sofia.
What was the final score of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 Septemvri Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Plovdiv 55%, draw 25%, Septemvri Sofia 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.