Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-1 Slavia Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 13 Mar 2026

📅13/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
13%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.0pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.4pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.9pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.60/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.21
+40% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
282 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Slavia Sofia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.10.2025 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 2-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
10.05.2025 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
06.04.2025 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 3-2 HT 2-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
24.10.2024 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 3-2 HT 3-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
09.03.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-2 HT 1-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
16.09.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 1-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1-1
AWAY Slavia Sofia
64% Ball Possession 36%
30 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Slavia Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and Slavia Sofia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had 64% of the ball to Slavia Sofia's 36%, shots finished 30-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slavia Sofia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and 1.67 for Slavia Sofia.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Slavia Sofia?

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-1 Slavia Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Slavia Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 42%, draw 32%, Slavia Sofia 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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