Larne FC 2-1 Dungannon Swifts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 13 Mar 2026

📅13/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
64%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
15%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.91
Over
50%
1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.84
No
53%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.27
2-3
39%
1.74
4-5
23%
3.23
6+
12%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.27 — our 26% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.99
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
15.5
X/1
26%
3.97
X/2
4%
10.5
X/X
9%
5.45
2/1
8%
22.65
2/2
7%
8.72
2/X
7%
17.35
Value flag · X/1 at 3.97 — our 26% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Larne FC The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Dungannon Swifts The Market 21%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.99 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.95
0.79 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.79
Average Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Weak
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Larne FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
29.11.2025 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-2 HT 1-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
04.10.2025 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-0 HT 2-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
01.04.2025 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-1 HT 1-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
22.02.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
23.12.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-1 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
06.10.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
REVIEW Larne FC vs Dungannon Swifts
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Larne FC found just enough to beat Dungannon Swifts 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Larne FC as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 50% for over 2.5, 47% on both teams scoring. At 1.84 (~54%), the BTTS-yes price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dungannon Swifts led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Larne FC against 1.33 for Dungannon Swifts.

Larne FC vs Dungannon Swifts Result & Final Score

Larne FC 2-1 Dungannon Swifts in the North Ireland - Premier League on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Larne FC vs Dungannon Swifts Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Larne FC 64%, draw 21%, Dungannon Swifts 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Larne FC) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Larne FC) ✗ BTTS No
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