Dungannon Swifts 2-0 Larne FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 4 Oct 2025

Dungannon Swifts
2-0 HT 2-0
Larne FC
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
North Ireland - Premier League – 2025/2026

Dungannon Swifts vs Larne FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
53%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.78
Over 2.5
40%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.89
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
3.66
6+ Goals
7%
15.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 34% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.42
1/2
9%
24.85
1/X
7%
15.2
X/1
8%
8.01
X/2
12%
4.36
X/X
13%
4.66
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
32%
2.54
2/X
4%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
25%
-1.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
53%
Away Win
49%
+3.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.3pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dungannon Swifts v Larne FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Larne FC EU Bookmakers 54%
+8% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.35/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.82
+14% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +44%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
220 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7

Dungannon Swifts vs Larne FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Larne FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.04.2025 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-1 HT 1-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
22.02.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
23.12.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-1 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
06.10.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
20.01.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-2 HT 0-2 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
13.10.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Larne FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts got the better of Larne FC 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Larne FC at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 0.67 for Larne FC.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Larne FC?

Dungannon Swifts 2-0 Larne FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Larne FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 23%, draw 23%, Larne FC 53%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Larne FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Larne FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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