Liepaja 0-1 Rigas Skola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 13 Mar 2026

📅13/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.48
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
59%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.7
No
41%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
5%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
44%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
20%
-1.5pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.1pp
59%
Away Win
58%
+1.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-2.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+2.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
55%
+4.5pp
41%
BTTS No
45%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liepaja EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 62%
+22% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.32/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.26
+12% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
279 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 82%
14.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.6
14.0 Crosses 24.5
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liepaja
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Rigas Skola
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.10 xG 1.94
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
293 Passes 458
80% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2025 Liepaja Liepaja 2-2 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
04.07.2025 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 2-1 HT 1-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
14.05.2025 Liepaja Liepaja 2-1 HT 1-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
29.03.2025 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 4-1 HT 0-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
20.09.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 2-0 HT 1-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
01.07.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 1-3 HT 1-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liepaja
0-1
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.21 xG 1.12
53% Ball Possession 47%
3 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
346 Passes 338
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 21
9 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Liepaja vs Rigas Skola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola squeezed past Liepaja 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Liepaja had 53% of the ball to Rigas Skola's 47%, shots finished 3-11, expected goals 0.21 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Liepaja and 2.33 for Rigas Skola.

What was the final score of Liepaja vs Rigas Skola?

Liepaja 0-1 Rigas Skola in the Latvia - Virsliga on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liepaja vs Rigas Skola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 18%, draw 23%, Rigas Skola 59%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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