Swindon Town vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Swindon Town v AFC Wimbledon — Team-Based Signals
Swindon Town vs AFC Wimbledon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
Swindon Town
İN2
1-5
HT 1-3
Swindon Town
İN2
0-0
HT 0-0
AFC Wimbledon
İN2
4-1
HT 3-0
Swindon Town
İN1
0-1
HT 0-1
AFC Wimbledon
İN1
0-0
HT 0-0
AFC Wimbledon
İN1
Swindon Town 3-2 AFC Wimbledon — Actual Match Statistics
Swindon Town edged past AFC Wimbledon 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was AFC Wimbledon at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Swindon Town had 59% of the ball to AFC Wimbledon's 41%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.70 to 0.72.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AFC Wimbledon led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Swindon Town and 1.67 for AFC Wimbledon.
What was the final score of Swindon Town vs AFC Wimbledon?
Swindon Town 3-2 AFC Wimbledon in the England - 2nd Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Swindon Town vs AFC Wimbledon?
Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Wimbledon win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Swindon Town 33%, draw 26%, AFC Wimbledon 41%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.