Arandina 2-1 Real Aviles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-1.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.0pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arandina EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Aviles EU Bookmakers 34%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -5%
1.02/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.95
-14% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
257 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arandina
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Real Aviles
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 5
03.12.2023 Real Aviles Real Aviles 2-1 HT 1-0 Arandina Arandina İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arandina
2-1
AWAY Real Aviles
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arandina vs Real Aviles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arandina squeezed past Real Aviles 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Arandina found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arandina had 45% of the ball to Real Aviles's 55%, shots finished 13-10.

What was the final score of Arandina vs Real Aviles?

Arandina 2-1 Real Aviles in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arandina vs Real Aviles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arandina win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Arandina 38%, draw 28%, Real Aviles 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arandina) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arandina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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