Valle Egües 1-3 Barakaldo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
12.23
Draw
23%
5.15
Away
66%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.67
No
60%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
39%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
6%
+5.4pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.9pp
66%
Away Win
77%
-11.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
33%
+7.1pp
60%
BTTS No
67%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valle Egües EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Barakaldo EU Bookmakers 81%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.53/2.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+92% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
201 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
6.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valle Egües
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Barakaldo
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
30% Ball Possession 70%
2 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
03.12.2023 Barakaldo Barakaldo 1-0 HT 0-0 Valle Egües Valle Egües İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valle Egües
1-3
AWAY Barakaldo
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 34
2 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Valle Egües vs Barakaldo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barakaldo beat Valle Egües 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Barakaldo as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Valle Egües had 37% of the ball to Barakaldo's 63%, shots finished 7-34.

What was the final score of Valle Egües vs Barakaldo?

Valle Egües 1-3 Barakaldo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valle Egües vs Barakaldo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barakaldo win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Valle Egües 11%, draw 23%, Barakaldo 66%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barakaldo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barakaldo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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