Estepona 1-0 Cartagena II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
14%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
6%
X/X
4%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
67%
-5.8pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.4pp
14%
Away Win
12%
+1.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.3pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estepona EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Cartagena II EU Bookmakers 15%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
1.85/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.69
+6% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estepona
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Cartagena II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 Cartagena II Cartagena II 1-2 HT 0-0 Estepona Estepona İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estepona
1-0
AWAY Cartagena II
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Estepona vs Cartagena II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estepona nicked a narrow win over Cartagena II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Estepona as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Estepona had 49% of the ball to Cartagena II's 51%, shots finished 8-9.

What was the final score of Estepona vs Cartagena II?

Estepona 1-0 Cartagena II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estepona vs Cartagena II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estepona win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Estepona 61%, draw 25%, Cartagena II 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estepona), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Estepona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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