Ciudad Real 1-2 Antoniano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
2.0
Draw
21%
3.04
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
46%
+8.0pp
21%
Draw
30%
-8.7pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.6pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ciudad Real EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Antoniano EU Bookmakers 28%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.02/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.54
-20% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
269 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ciudad Real
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Antoniano
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 Antoniano Antoniano 1-0 HT 1-0 Ciudad Real Ciudad Real İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ciudad Real
1-2
AWAY Antoniano
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ciudad Real vs Antoniano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antoniano squeezed past Ciudad Real 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ciudad Real at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ciudad Real had 50% of the ball to Antoniano's 50%, shots finished 11-13.

What was the final score of Ciudad Real vs Antoniano?

Ciudad Real 1-2 Antoniano in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ciudad Real vs Antoniano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ciudad Real win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Ciudad Real 54%, draw 21%, Antoniano 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ciudad Real) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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