Athletic Bilbao II 4-0 Naxara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.16
Draw
21%
6.26
Away
13%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
3.06
No
55%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
82%
-15.5pp
21%
Draw
13%
+8.0pp
13%
Away Win
6%
+7.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
28%
+16.8pp
55%
BTTS No
72%
-16.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Bilbao II EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxara EU Bookmakers 8%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
2.98/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/2.68
+31% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -27%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
436 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Bilbao II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Naxara
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
03.12.2023 Naxara Naxara 1-2 HT 1-0 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Bilbao II
4-0
AWAY Naxara
59% Ball Possession 41%
25 Total Shots 2
14 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Athletic Bilbao II vs Naxara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao II ran out comfortable winners over Naxara 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Athletic Bilbao II as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Athletic Bilbao II had 59% of the ball to Naxara's 41%, shots finished 25-2.

What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao II vs Naxara?

Athletic Bilbao II 4-0 Naxara in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao II vs Naxara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao II win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao II 66%, draw 21%, Naxara 13%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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