Villalbes 2-2 Cayon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.16
No
64%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.1pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.7pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.7pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-6.3pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villalbes EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Cayon EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.99/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/2.23
-22% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -47%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villalbes
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cayon
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
03.12.2023 Cayon Cayon 3-0 HT 2-0 Villalbes İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villalbes
2-2
AWAY Cayon
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Villalbes vs Cayon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villalbes and Cayon shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Villalbes at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Villalbes had 53% of the ball to Cayon's 47%, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of Villalbes vs Cayon?

Villalbes 2-2 Cayon in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villalbes vs Cayon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villalbes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Villalbes 41%, draw 27%, Cayon 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Villalbes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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