Utebo 2-0 Mutilvera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
60%
-11.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+9.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.5pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utebo EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Mutilvera EU Bookmakers 20%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.73/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.23
-1% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 9.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utebo
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Mutilvera
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Mutilvera Mutilvera 0-3 HT 0-0 Utebo Utebo İS4
15.04.2023 Mutilvera Mutilvera 5-1 HT 1-1 Utebo Utebo İS4
03.12.2022 Utebo Utebo 3-2 HT 1-2 Mutilvera Mutilvera İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utebo
2-0
AWAY Mutilvera
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Utebo vs Mutilvera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utebo saw off Mutilvera 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Utebo as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Utebo had 47% of the ball to Mutilvera's 53%, shots finished 12-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Utebo had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Utebo and 2.33 for Mutilvera.

What was the final score of Utebo vs Mutilvera?

Utebo 2-0 Mutilvera in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utebo vs Mutilvera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utebo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Utebo 48%, draw 26%, Mutilvera 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utebo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Utebo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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