Meppen 4-1 Havelse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.29
Over Pick
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
35%
4-5
30%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-2.3pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.7pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.8pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meppen EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Havelse EU Bookmakers 29%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
2.98/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.71
+64% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
408 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meppen
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Havelse
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
15.10.2023 Havelse Havelse 4-2 HT 2-1 Meppen Meppen ALMBÖL
05.02.2022 Havelse Havelse 3-0 HT 1-0 Meppen Meppen AL3
30.08.2021 Meppen Meppen 1-0 HT 0-0 Havelse Havelse AL3
POST-MATCH Meppen vs Havelse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meppen cruised past Havelse 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Meppen as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Havelse led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Meppen and 2.33 for Havelse.

What was the final score of Meppen vs Havelse?

Meppen 4-1 Havelse in the Germany - Regional League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meppen vs Havelse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meppen win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Meppen 48%, draw 29%, Havelse 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meppen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Meppen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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