Wiedenbrück 3-1 Köln II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.6
No
56%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
58%
-14.3pp
56%
BTTS No
42%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wiedenbrück EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln II EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.63/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.49
-4% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wiedenbrück
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Köln II
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
21.10.2023 Köln II Köln II 3-0 HT 1-0 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück ALMBÖL
01.04.2023 Köln II Köln II 2-0 HT 1-0 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück ALMBÖL
08.10.2022 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück 2-0 HT 1-0 Köln II Köln II ALMBÖL
05.02.2022 Köln II Köln II 0-0 HT 0-0 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück ALMBÖL
28.09.2021 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück 2-0 HT 1-0 Köln II Köln II ALMBÖL
28.05.2021 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück 1-1 HT 1-1 Köln II Köln II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wiedenbrück
3-1
AWAY Köln II
37% Ball Possession 63%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Wiedenbrück vs Köln II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wiedenbrück got the better of Köln II 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Wiedenbrück as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wiedenbrück had 37% of the ball to Köln II's 63%, shots finished 16-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Wiedenbrück and 1.00 for Köln II.

What was the final score of Wiedenbrück vs Köln II?

Wiedenbrück 3-1 Köln II in the Germany - Regional League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wiedenbrück vs Köln II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wiedenbrück win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Wiedenbrück 41%, draw 27%, Köln II 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wiedenbrück) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wiedenbrück) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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