Audace Cerignola 2-4 Benevento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.48
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.38
6+ Goals
8%
23.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.3pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.0pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.1pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Benevento EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -6%
1.51/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/0.89
+6% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +39%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Audace Cerignola
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Benevento
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.11.2024 Benevento Benevento 1-1 HT 0-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
15.02.2024 Benevento Benevento 1-1 HT 1-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
08.10.2023 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 0-0 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audace Cerignola
2-4
AWAY Benevento
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Audace Cerignola vs Benevento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benevento beat Audace Cerignola 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Audace Cerignola at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Audace Cerignola had 57% of the ball to Benevento's 43%, shots finished 16-18.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Audace Cerignola and 0.67 for Benevento.

What was the final score of Audace Cerignola vs Benevento?

Audace Cerignola 2-4 Benevento in the Italy - Serie C on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audace Cerignola vs Benevento?

Before kick-off our model rated a Audace Cerignola win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Audace Cerignola 45%, draw 30%, Benevento 25%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Audace Cerignola) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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