Hajduk Split 1-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.48
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.19
6+ Goals
9%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 26% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-10.7pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.4pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.36/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.81
-7% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -16%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
19.9 Crosses 16.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hajduk Split
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.68 xG 1.56
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
330 Passes 222
77% Pass Accuracy 69%
30 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.02.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-2 HT 2-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
26.10.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
11.08.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
16.03.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
08.12.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HT 1-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
23.09.2023 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hajduk Split
1-1
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.90 xG 0.75
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
350 Passes 166
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
27 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hajduk Split vs Lokomotiva Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hajduk Split and Lokomotiva Zagreb couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Hajduk Split carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hajduk Split had 64% of the ball to Lokomotiva Zagreb's 36%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.90 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hajduk Split and 1.33 for Lokomotiva Zagreb.

What was the final score of Hajduk Split vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Hajduk Split 1-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hajduk Split vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Hajduk Split 56%, draw 23%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 21%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hajduk Split) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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