Cerro Porteno 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.86
Over
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No Pick
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
39%
4-5
23%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
62%
-13.2pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.1pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.0pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 19%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.83/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.02
-1% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -23%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
287 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 62%
39.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
34.0 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Porteno
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.01.2025 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
06.10.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
05.08.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 4-0 HT 3-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
02.06.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 0-2 HT 0-2 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
16.03.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
04.11.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Porteno
0-0
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Luqueno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Porteno and Sportivo Luqueno fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Cerro Porteno at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Cerro Porteno had 66% of the ball to Sportivo Luqueno's 34%, shots finished 19-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cerro Porteno and 0.67 for Sportivo Luqueno.

What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Cerro Porteno 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 49%, draw 28%, Sportivo Luqueno 23%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Cerro Porteno) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✓ BTTS No
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