Sportivo Luqueno 1-1 Cerro Porteno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 30 Jan 2025

📅30/01/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.71
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
37%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.68
Over 2.5
37%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
18%
+12.9pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.9pp
37%
Away Win
54%
-17.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.7pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 58%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
1.02/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/0.84
+12% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
299 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
Crosses 26.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cerro Porteno
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
05.08.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 4-0 HT 3-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
02.06.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 0-2 HT 0-2 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
16.03.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
04.11.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
21.08.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 2-2 HT 1-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
1-1
AWAY Cerro Porteno
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sportivo Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Luqueno and Cerro Porteno couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 32% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sportivo Luqueno had 42% of the ball to Cerro Porteno's 58%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sportivo Luqueno and 1.50 for Cerro Porteno.

What was the final score of Sportivo Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno?

Sportivo Luqueno 1-1 Cerro Porteno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Luqueno 31%, draw 32%, Cerro Porteno 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cerro Porteno), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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