Celje 2-1 Mura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2025

Celje
2-1 HT 0-1
Mura
📅13/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
2.94
6+ Goals
11%
9.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-2.7pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.8pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celje EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Mura EU Bookmakers 23%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.57/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.48
-8% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celje
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mura
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2025 Mura Mura 0-0 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
19.10.2024 Celje Celje 4-3 HT 0-1 Mura Mura SLVN
03.08.2024 Mura Mura 1-0 HT 1-0 Celje Celje SLVN
06.04.2024 Mura Mura 1-3 HT 1-2 Celje Celje SLVN
11.02.2024 Celje Celje 4-1 HT 2-1 Mura Mura SLVN
30.09.2023 Mura Mura 0-2 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celje
2-1
AWAY Mura
74% Ball Possession 26%
15 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Celje vs Mura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje edged past Mura 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Celje as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Celje had 74% of the ball to Mura's 26%, shots finished 15-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Celje and 1.00 for Mura.

What was the final score of Celje vs Mura?

Celje 2-1 Mura in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celje vs Mura?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Celje 54%, draw 21%, Mura 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celje), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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