Aucas 2-0 Emelec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 13 Apr 2026

Aucas
2-0 HT 0-0
Emelec
📅13/04/2026 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.1pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aucas EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Emelec EU Bookmakers 26%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -6%
1.49/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.52
-8% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
21.7 Crosses 14.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aucas
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Emelec
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.64 xG 1.09
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
292 Passes 278
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2025 Emelec Emelec 0-2 HT 0-1 Aucas Aucas EKV1
19.10.2025 Aucas Aucas 0-0 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
31.08.2025 Aucas Aucas 1-2 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
12.05.2025 Emelec Emelec 0-1 HT 0-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
07.10.2024 Emelec Emelec 0-0 HT 0-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
20.04.2024 Aucas Aucas 3-1 HT 3-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aucas
2-0
AWAY Emelec
1.53 xG 0.32
67% Ball Possession 33%
25 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 4
488 Passes 211
94% Pass Accuracy 82%
32 Box Touches 5
26 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Aucas vs Emelec
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Aucas beat Emelec 2-0 in the Ecuador - Premier on 13 Apr 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Aucas had 67% of the ball to Emelec's 33%, shots finished 25-9, expected goals 1.53 to 0.32.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aucas have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aucas and 0.50 for Emelec.

What was the final score of Aucas vs Emelec?

Aucas 2-0 Emelec in the Ecuador - Premier on 13/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aucas vs Emelec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Aucas 50%, draw 27%, Emelec 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aucas), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aucas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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