La Equidad vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
La Equidad v Alianza Petrolera — Team-Based Signals
La Equidad vs Alianza Petrolera Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
La Equidad
KOL
La Equidad 2-1 Alianza Petrolera — Actual Match Statistics
La Equidad nicked a narrow win over Alianza Petrolera 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had La Equidad as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, La Equidad had 61% of the ball to Alianza Petrolera's 39%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 0.87 to 0.95.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Petrolera led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for La Equidad and 1.17 for Alianza Petrolera.
What was the final score of La Equidad vs Alianza Petrolera?
La Equidad 2-1 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Primera on 13/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for La Equidad vs Alianza Petrolera?
Before kick-off our model rated a La Equidad win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split La Equidad 53%, draw 26%, Alianza Petrolera 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (La Equidad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.