Tallinna Kalev 0-5 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Cup, 13 May 2025

📅13/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
5.91
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
40%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
14%
+16.9pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.3pp
40%
Away Win
64%
-24.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +22%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
240 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 494 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tallinna Kalev
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.04.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 6-1 HT 1-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
22.09.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-1 HT 2-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
03.08.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-2 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
18.06.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-0 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
27.04.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-2 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
10.04.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-1 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev ESTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tallinna Kalev
0-5
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tallinna Kalev vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju ran out comfortable winners over Tallinna Kalev 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 40% — and on the day Nomme JK Kalju made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Tallinna Kalev had 37% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 63%, shots finished 7-23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tallinna Kalev and 2.83 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of Tallinna Kalev vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Tallinna Kalev 0-5 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Cup on 13/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tallinna Kalev vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tallinna Kalev 31%, draw 29%, Nomme JK Kalju 40%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✓ Over 2.5
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