Forge 2-2 Atletico Ottawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 13 May 2025

📅13/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.78
Over 2.5
54%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.97
2-3 Goals
48%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
15.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
33%
+0.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
40%
Away Win
40%
-0.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forge EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.93/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/0.87
-6% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 79%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
16.5 Crosses 10.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forge
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.86 xG 1.23
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
399 Passes 378
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Forge Forge 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
12.10.2024 Forge Forge 0-2 HT 0-2 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
11.08.2024 Forge Forge 3-0 HT 2-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
29.06.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 4-3 HT 1-0 Forge Forge CAPL
25.05.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 3-0 HT 1-0 Forge Forge CAPL
08.10.2023 Forge Forge 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forge
2-2
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
1.87 xG 1.82
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 1
338 Passes 464
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
24 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Forge vs Atletico Ottawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forge and Atletico Ottawa couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Forge had 44% of the ball to Atletico Ottawa's 56%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.87 to 1.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Ottawa led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Forge and 1.67 for Atletico Ottawa.

What was the final score of Forge vs Atletico Ottawa?

Forge 2-2 Atletico Ottawa in the Kanada - Premier League on 13/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forge vs Atletico Ottawa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Ottawa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Forge 33%, draw 27%, Atletico Ottawa 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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