Velez Mostar 1-1 Zrinjski Mostar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Cup, 13 May 2026

📅13/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
40%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.9pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.1pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Zrinjski Mostar EU Bookmakers 39%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
4.00/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.29
+150% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velez Mostar
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Zrinjski Mostar
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
06.05.2026 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSK
03.04.2026 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 0-1 HT 0-1 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
07.12.2025 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 1-1 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
27.09.2025 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-3 HT 0-2 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
03.05.2025 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 0-1 HT 0-0 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
01.03.2025 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
POST-MATCH Velez Mostar vs Zrinjski Mostar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velez Mostar and Zrinjski Mostar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zrinjski Mostar led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Velez Mostar and 1.33 for Zrinjski Mostar.

What was the final score of Velez Mostar vs Zrinjski Mostar?

Velez Mostar 1-1 Zrinjski Mostar in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Cup on 13/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velez Mostar vs Zrinjski Mostar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zrinjski Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Velez Mostar 31%, draw 29%, Zrinjski Mostar 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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