Atletico Nacional 7-1 La Equidad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 13 May 2026

📅13/05/2026 · 🕒02:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
13%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
63%
+0.9pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.7pp
13%
Away Win
16%
-2.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY La Equidad EU Bookmakers 19%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -6%
1.59/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.31
+12% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -11%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 71%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
19.1 Crosses 11.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Nacional
4W-0D-2L
AWAY La Equidad
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.08 xG 0.63
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
352 Passes 192
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2026 La Equidad La Equidad 1-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
22.03.2026 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 3-0 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
20.07.2025 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 3-1 HT 2-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
02.02.2025 La Equidad La Equidad 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
31.07.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 0-1 HT 0-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
26.02.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Nacional
7-1
AWAY La Equidad
4.01 xG 1.10
59% Ball Possession 41%
22 Total Shots 16
15 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
438 Passes 288
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
39 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Nacional vs La Equidad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Nacional cruised past La Equidad 7-1. Half-time: 2-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Atletico Nacional had 59% of the ball to La Equidad's 41%, shots finished 22-16, expected goals 4.01 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atletico Nacional and 0.83 for La Equidad.

What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs La Equidad?

Atletico Nacional 7-1 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 13/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs La Equidad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 64%, draw 23%, La Equidad 13%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOL More Colombia - Primera
13 May 2026
04:30 Santa Fe vs America de Cali Analysis →