Mbarara City vs SC Villa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mbarara City v SC Villa — Team-Based Signals
Mbarara City vs SC Villa Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
SC Villa
UGA
SC Villa saw off Mbarara City 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had SC Villa as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, SC Villa led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mbarara City and 2.80 for SC Villa.
What was the final score of Mbarara City vs SC Villa?
Mbarara City 1-3 SC Villa in the Uganda - Premier League on 13/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mbarara City vs SC Villa?
Before kick-off our model rated an SC Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mbarara City 27%, draw 31%, SC Villa 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SC Villa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.