UPDF vs Kampala City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
UPDF v Kampala City — Team-Based Signals
UPDF vs Kampala City Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Kampala City
UGA
UPDF 1-2 Kampala City — Actual Match Statistics
Kampala City squeezed past UPDF 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Kampala City as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, UPDF had 37% of the ball to Kampala City's 63%, shots finished 5-15.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kampala City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for UPDF and 2.00 for Kampala City.
What was the final score of UPDF vs Kampala City?
UPDF 1-2 Kampala City in the Uganda - Premier League on 13/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for UPDF vs Kampala City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Kampala City win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split UPDF 20%, draw 26%, Kampala City 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kampala City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.