TPS Turku 3-2 SJK Akatemia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 13 Jun 2025

📅13/06/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
29%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.94
Over 2.5
60%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.41
No
44%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
66%
-17.1pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.1pp
29%
Away Win
16%
+13.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
22%
+18.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
78%
-18.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
67%
-10.5pp
44%
BTTS No
33%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Akatemia EU Bookmakers 19%
-10% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -9%
2.04/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/2.46
-8% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
360 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TPS Turku
5W-1D-0L
AWAY SJK Akatemia
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.04.2025 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 3-4 HT 2-3 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
01.02.2025 TPS Turku TPS Turku 1-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FINYK
24.08.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 1-1 HT 1-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
29.06.2024 TPS Turku TPS Turku 1-0 HT 0-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
24.06.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 0-3 HT 0-2 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİK
29.04.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 0-3 HT 0-3 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TPS Turku
3-2
AWAY SJK Akatemia
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH TPS Turku vs SJK Akatemia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TPS Turku nicked a narrow win over SJK Akatemia 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had TPS Turku as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, TPS Turku had 58% of the ball to SJK Akatemia's 42%, shots finished 16-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, TPS Turku had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for TPS Turku and 0.67 for SJK Akatemia.

What was the final score of TPS Turku vs SJK Akatemia?

TPS Turku 3-2 SJK Akatemia in the Finland - Ykkönen on 13/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TPS Turku vs SJK Akatemia?

Before kick-off our model rated a TPS Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split TPS Turku 49%, draw 22%, SJK Akatemia 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TPS Turku), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (TPS Turku) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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