Harju Jalgpallikool 2-3 FC Kuressaare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 13 Jun 2026

📅13/06/2026 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.53
No
34%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
47%
+2.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.0pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.8pp
66%
BTTS Yes
61%
+4.9pp
34%
BTTS No
39%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +8%
1.11/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.34
-33% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FC Kuressaare
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.04.2026 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 3-2 HT 1-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
17.09.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
09.08.2025 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-3 HT 1-3 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
29.06.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
16.03.2025 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-2 HT 1-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
04.11.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-1 HT 0-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
2-3
AWAY FC Kuressaare
57% Ball Possession 43%
25 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Harju Jalgpallikool vs FC Kuressaare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Kuressaare nicked a narrow win over Harju Jalgpallikool 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Harju Jalgpallikool at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

On the day, Harju Jalgpallikool had 57% of the ball to FC Kuressaare's 43%, shots finished 25-20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Harju Jalgpallikool had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Harju Jalgpallikool and 1.33 for FC Kuressaare.

What was the final score of Harju Jalgpallikool vs FC Kuressaare?

Harju Jalgpallikool 2-3 FC Kuressaare in the Estonia - Premium League on 13/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harju Jalgpallikool vs FC Kuressaare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Harju Jalgpallikool win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Harju Jalgpallikool 50%, draw 25%, FC Kuressaare 26%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Harju Jalgpallikool) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Harju Jalgpallikool) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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