APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-1 Wollongong Wolves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
3.17
Over 2.5
56%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.39
No
47%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
61%
-13.9pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.6pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
28%
+15.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
72%
-15.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.6pp
47%
BTTS No
32%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Wollongong Wolves EU Bookmakers 23%
-12% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.98/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.56
+0% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +51%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.1 Crosses 15.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Wollongong Wolves
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.09 xG 1.43
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
272 Passes 256
68% Pass Accuracy 67%
19 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 1-2 HT 1-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
20.05.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-0 HT 1-0 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
03.02.2023 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 2-2 HT 2-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
19.06.2022 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 2-2 HT 1-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
01.04.2022 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-0 HT 0-0 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
23.04.2021 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-1 HT 2-0 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
POST-MATCH APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Wollongong Wolves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers and Wollongong Wolves couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was APIA Leichhardt Tigers at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, APIA Leichhardt Tigers had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for APIA Leichhardt Tigers and 1.00 for Wollongong Wolves.

What was the final score of APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Wollongong Wolves?

APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-1 Wollongong Wolves in the Australia - National Premier League on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Wollongong Wolves?

Before kick-off our model rated a APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split APIA Leichhardt Tigers 47%, draw 26%, Wollongong Wolves 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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