Marconi Stallions 2-1 St George City FA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.3pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marconi Stallions EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY St George City FA EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.06/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.81
+13% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.2 Crosses 17.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marconi Stallions
1W-0D-2L
AWAY St George City FA
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.23 xG 1.35
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
276 Passes 232
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2024 St George City FA St George City FA 2-1 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions AVNPL
10.06.2023 St George City FA St George City FA 0-2 HT 0-0 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions AVNPL
25.02.2023 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions 2-3 HT 1-3 St George City FA St George City FA AVNPL
POST-MATCH Marconi Stallions vs St George City FA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marconi Stallions nicked a narrow win over St George City FA 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Marconi Stallions as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, St George City FA led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Marconi Stallions and 1.67 for St George City FA.

What was the final score of Marconi Stallions vs St George City FA?

Marconi Stallions 2-1 St George City FA in the Australia - National Premier League on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marconi Stallions vs St George City FA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marconi Stallions win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Marconi Stallions 44%, draw 27%, St George City FA 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marconi Stallions), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Marconi Stallions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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