Bromley 1-2 AFC Wimbledon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 13 Aug 2024

📅13/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.73
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.26
6+ Goals
9%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 29% vs market 21.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.88
1/2
9%
26.0
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
17%
5.86
X/2
10%
5.3
X/X
13%
4.96
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
15%
3.38
2/X
7%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+3.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.6pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bromley EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Wimbledon EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
280 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
Crosses 18.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bromley
1-2
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
1.04 xG 1.81
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
196 Passes 291
65% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bromley vs AFC Wimbledon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Wimbledon nicked a narrow win over Bromley 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day AFC Wimbledon made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bromley had 43% of the ball to AFC Wimbledon's 57%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.04 to 1.81.

What was the final score of Bromley vs AFC Wimbledon?

Bromley 1-2 AFC Wimbledon in the England - League Cup on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bromley vs AFC Wimbledon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bromley win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bromley 40%, draw 26%, AFC Wimbledon 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bromley) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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