Nacional Potosi 5-1 Universitario de Vinto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 13 Aug 2025

📅13/08/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
14%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
59%
-1.7pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.4pp
19%
Away Win
19%
+0.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.7pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.68/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.13
+1% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +46%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 74%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
23.0 Crosses 15.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Potosi
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Universitario de Vinto
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.35 xG 1.22
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
254 Passes 278
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.03.2025 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 0-1 HT 0-1 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi CSA
21.12.2024 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 1-2 HT 0-1 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
20.09.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 0-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
17.04.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 3-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
07.03.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 0-2 HT 0-1 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi CON CSA
03.10.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Potosi
5-1
AWAY Universitario de Vinto
1.32 xG 2.35
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 9
266 Passes 333
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 25
8 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nacional Potosi vs Universitario de Vinto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Potosi swept aside Universitario de Vinto 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nacional Potosi as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Nacional Potosi had 45% of the ball to Universitario de Vinto's 55%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.32 to 2.35 — the balance of chances actually favoured Universitario de Vinto.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Potosi had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nacional Potosi and 0.83 for Universitario de Vinto.

What was the final score of Nacional Potosi vs Universitario de Vinto?

Nacional Potosi 5-1 Universitario de Vinto in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 13/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Potosi vs Universitario de Vinto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Potosi win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Nacional Potosi 57%, draw 23%, Universitario de Vinto 19%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional Potosi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nacional Potosi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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