Forward Madison 1-1 Greenville Triumph — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 13 Aug 2026

📅13/08/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
18%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
14%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
54%
+3.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
18%
Away Win
22%
-3.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.3pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -18%
1.68/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.44
-29% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
17.5 Crosses 15.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forward Madison
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Greenville Triumph
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.12 xG 1.32
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
369 Passes 236
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.06.2026 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 1-0 HT 1-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
21.09.2025 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 3-0 HT 2-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
13.07.2025 Forward Madison Forward Madison 3-1 HT 1-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
05.05.2024 Forward Madison Forward Madison 3-2 HT 1-1 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
24.03.2024 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 0-0 HT 0-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
30.07.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 1-1 HT 1-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forward Madison
1-1
AWAY Greenville Triumph
1.18 xG 1.53
20 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 2
352 Passes 202
42 Box Touches 12
32 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forward Madison and Greenville Triumph shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Forward Madison at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 1.18 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Forward Madison and 1.33 for Greenville Triumph.

What was the final score of Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph?

Forward Madison 1-1 Greenville Triumph in the USA - USL League 1 on 13/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forward Madison win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Forward Madison 58%, draw 24%, Greenville Triumph 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Forward Madison), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Forward Madison) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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