Bijelo Brdo 2-0 Jarun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.0pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bijelo Brdo EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Jarun EU Bookmakers 21%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +2%
0.65/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/0.86
-62% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +59%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
400 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bijelo Brdo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Jarun
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.04.2025 Jarun Jarun 0-5 HT 0-3 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo HIR2
15.02.2025 Jarun Jarun 0-1 HT 0-0 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo HIR2
22.09.2024 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 0-2 HT 0-2 Jarun Jarun HIR2
23.03.2024 Jarun Jarun 1-3 HT 1-2 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo HIR2
23.02.2024 Jarun Jarun 2-2 HT 0-1 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo HIR2
30.09.2023 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 0-0 HT 0-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bijelo Brdo
2-0
AWAY Jarun
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bijelo Brdo vs Jarun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bijelo Brdo beat Jarun 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bijelo Brdo as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bijelo Brdo had 57% of the ball to Jarun's 43%, shots finished 11-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bijelo Brdo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Bijelo Brdo and 0.83 for Jarun.

What was the final score of Bijelo Brdo vs Jarun?

Bijelo Brdo 2-0 Jarun in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bijelo Brdo vs Jarun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bijelo Brdo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Bijelo Brdo 52%, draw 26%, Jarun 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bijelo Brdo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bijelo Brdo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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