Cavalry 3-1 HFX Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.33
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 27% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+0.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
20%
Away Win
22%
-1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavalry EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -23%
1.38/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.76
-21% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
364 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 81%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
19.4 Crosses 16.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavalry
3W-2D-1L
AWAY HFX Wanderers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.25 xG 1.07
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
404 Passes 316
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2025 Cavalry Cavalry 0-0 HT 0-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
14.06.2025 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
11.05.2025 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 0-3 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
13.10.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 2-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
10.08.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 3-2 HT 2-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
01.07.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavalry
3-1
AWAY HFX Wanderers
1.94 xG 0.77
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
295 Passes 310
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavalry beat HFX Wanderers 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cavalry as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Cavalry had 49% of the ball to HFX Wanderers's 51%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.94 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cavalry and 0.83 for HFX Wanderers.

What was the final score of Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers?

Cavalry 3-1 HFX Wanderers in the Kanada - Premier League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Cavalry 55%, draw 26%, HFX Wanderers 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cavalry), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cavalry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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