HFX Wanderers 1-1 Cavalry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.78
6+ Goals
9%
16.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 30% vs market 28.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.3pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Cavalry EU Bookmakers 38%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +21%
1.91/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.11
+35% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
16.5 Crosses 14.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HFX Wanderers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Cavalry
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.21 xG 0.99
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
347 Passes 373
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.05.2025 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 0-3 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
13.10.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 2-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
10.08.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 3-2 HT 2-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
01.07.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
11.05.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
13.09.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-2 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HFX Wanderers
1-1
AWAY Cavalry
1.42 xG 1.82
35% Ball Possession 65%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 9
200 Passes 438
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH HFX Wanderers vs Cavalry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HFX Wanderers and Cavalry couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, HFX Wanderers had 35% of the ball to Cavalry's 65%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.42 to 1.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for HFX Wanderers and 1.83 for Cavalry.

What was the final score of HFX Wanderers vs Cavalry?

HFX Wanderers 1-1 Cavalry in the Kanada - Premier League on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HFX Wanderers vs Cavalry?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split HFX Wanderers 34%, draw 28%, Cavalry 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cavalry), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cavalry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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