Hamrun Spartans 2-0 Mosta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.91
Over 2.5
41%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.8pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.8pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+6.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.9pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Mosta EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +23%
1.47/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.50
+1% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
400 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamrun Spartans
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mosta
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 Mosta Mosta 0-2 HT 0-2 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MALTP
09.03.2025 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-2 HT 0-1 Mosta Mosta MALTP
17.12.2024 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-2 HT 1-1 Mosta Mosta MLTP
15.09.2024 Mosta Mosta 1-0 HT 0-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
10.03.2024 Mosta Mosta 0-4 HT 0-3 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
05.11.2023 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-1 HT 1-1 Mosta Mosta MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamrun Spartans
2-0
AWAY Mosta
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Hamrun Spartans vs Mosta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamrun Spartans got the better of Mosta 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hamrun Spartans as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hamrun Spartans had 57% of the ball to Mosta's 43%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mosta led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hamrun Spartans and 1.00 for Mosta.

What was the final score of Hamrun Spartans vs Mosta?

Hamrun Spartans 2-0 Mosta in the Malta - Premier League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamrun Spartans vs Mosta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hamrun Spartans 53%, draw 25%, Mosta 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamrun Spartans), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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