Zabbar St. Patrick 1-1 Naxxar Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.99
No
47%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.9pp
47%
BTTS No
54%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +65%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
492 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Naxxar Lions
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.04.2025 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 2-0 HT 1-0 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MALTP
01.03.2025 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 1-1 HT 1-0 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick MALTP
08.12.2024 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 0-3 HT 0-1 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick MLTP
22.09.2024 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 3-3 HT 1-1 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick
1-1
AWAY Naxxar Lions
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zabbar St. Patrick vs Naxxar Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zabbar St. Patrick and Naxxar Lions couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Zabbar St. Patrick at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zabbar St. Patrick had 51% of the ball to Naxxar Lions's 49%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Zabbar St. Patrick had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Zabbar St. Patrick and 1.00 for Naxxar Lions.

What was the final score of Zabbar St. Patrick vs Naxxar Lions?

Zabbar St. Patrick 1-1 Naxxar Lions in the Malta - Premier League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Naxxar Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zabbar St. Patrick win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Zabbar St. Patrick 51%, draw 24%, Naxxar Lions 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zabbar St. Patrick) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zabbar St. Patrick) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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