Krasnodar 2-1 Akron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.34
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
14%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.17
2-3 Goals
38%
1.99
4-5 Goals
24%
2.73
6+ Goals
16%
6.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.58
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
18.35
X/1
25%
3.88
X/2
5%
15.3
X/X
10%
7.71
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.5
2/2
5%
12.15
2/X
7%
20.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.5 — our 9% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
70%
-6.4pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.6pp
14%
Away Win
13%
+1.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Akron EU Bookmakers 16%
-4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.02/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.33
+1% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -6%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
437 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
21.0 Crosses 19.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krasnodar
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Akron
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.05 xG 0.58
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
406 Passes 222
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
33 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-0 HT 0-0 Akron Akron RUS
21.09.2024 Akron Akron 2-5 HT 0-2 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
03.05.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 0-0 HT 0-0 Akron Akron RUSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krasnodar
2-1
AWAY Akron
2.32 xG 1.22
62% Ball Possession 38%
23 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
329 Passes 153
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
32 Box Touches 34
10 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Krasnodar vs Akron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krasnodar squeezed past Akron 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Krasnodar as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Krasnodar had 62% of the ball to Akron's 38%, shots finished 23-10, expected goals 2.32 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Krasnodar had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Krasnodar and 0.67 for Akron.

What was the final score of Krasnodar vs Akron?

Krasnodar 2-1 Akron in the Russia - Premier League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krasnodar vs Akron?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Krasnodar 64%, draw 22%, Akron 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krasnodar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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