Dinamo Moscow 2-2 Spartak Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.99
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.91
6+ Goals
12%
17.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.21
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
28.5
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
13%
5.98
X/2
13%
5.31
X/X
11%
4.25
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
14%
3.5
2/X
5%
12.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.5 — our 10% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.5pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.8pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.0pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 42%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.59/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.25
-4% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -16%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
233 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 76%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
15.6 Crosses 20.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Moscow
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Spartak Moskova
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.66 xG 1.31
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
255 Passes 405
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.05.2025 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 2-0 HT 2-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
29.04.2025 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 2-1 HT 1-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUSK
07.02.2025 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 0-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova HAZ
02.10.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 2-3 HT 2-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUK
22.09.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 2-2 HT 2-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
31.07.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-0 HT 1-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Moscow
2-2
AWAY Spartak Moskova
1.01 xG 2.31
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
219 Passes 314
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dinamo Moscow vs Spartak Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Moscow and Spartak Moskova couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Dinamo Moscow had 45% of the ball to Spartak Moskova's 55%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.01 to 2.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Moskova led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dinamo Moscow and 1.83 for Spartak Moskova.

What was the final score of Dinamo Moscow vs Spartak Moskova?

Dinamo Moscow 2-2 Spartak Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Moscow vs Spartak Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Moscow 39%, draw 23%, Spartak Moskova 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) ✓ BTTS Yes
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