Spartak Moskova 2-1 Dinamo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Super Cup, 29 Apr 2025

📅29/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
33%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.87
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.08
6+ Goals
12%
9.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.45
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
15%
4.73
X/2
14%
8.7
X/X
15%
5.18
2/1
7%
22.9
2/2
12%
6.34
2/X
5%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
51%
-9.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+9.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.8pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Moskova
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.33 xG 1.42
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
353 Passes 269
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.02.2025 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 0-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova HAZ
02.10.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 2-3 HT 2-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUK
22.09.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 2-2 HT 2-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
31.07.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-0 HT 1-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
12.07.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova HAZ
01.05.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 0-2 HT 0-2 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Moskova
2-1
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spartak Moskova vs Dinamo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Moskova edged past Dinamo Moscow 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Spartak Moskova as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Spartak Moskova had 44% of the ball to Dinamo Moscow's 56%, shots finished 7-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Moskova had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Spartak Moskova and 0.83 for Dinamo Moscow.

What was the final score of Spartak Moskova vs Dinamo Moscow?

Spartak Moskova 2-1 Dinamo Moscow in the Russia - Super Cup on 29/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Moskova vs Dinamo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Spartak Moskova 41%, draw 26%, Dinamo Moscow 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Moskova), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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