Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Brazil - Serie A, 13 Sep 2026

📅13/09/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.65
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
18%
4.55
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palmeiras
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Sao Paulo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.14 xG 0.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
289 Passes 322
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
22.03.2026 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 0-1 HT 0-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
05.10.2025 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 2-3 HT 2-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
11.05.2025 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-0 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
18.08.2024 Palmeiras Palmeiras 2-1 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
30.04.2024 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 0-0 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
04.02.2024 Palmeiras Palmeiras 0-0 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BRSC
PREVIEW Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

On our read, Palmeiras at home is the clear lean — the question is whether the price already knows it.

Results have deserted Sao Paulo on their travels: 4 defeats in the last 5 league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras have the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Palmeiras against 0.50 for Sao Paulo.

Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo Kick-off Time

Palmeiras play Sao Paulo in the Brazil - Serie A on 13/09/2026, kick-off 00:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo is a Palmeiras win at about 57% probability, priced 1.65 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Palmeiras 57%, draw 25%, Sao Paulo 18%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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