Venados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Mexico - Primera A, 13 Sep 2026

📅13/09/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
64%
1.57
Draw
20%
3.95
Away
16%
4.55
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venados
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Tepatitlán de Morelos
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.03.2026 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-0 HT 2-0 Venados Venados MEK2
11.10.2025 Venados Venados 1-0 HT 1-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
11.01.2025 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-2 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
27.07.2024 Venados Venados 1-1 HT 0-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
19.01.2024 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-5 HT 0-2 Venados Venados MEK2
28.09.2023 Venados Venados 5-1 HT 2-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
PREVIEW Venados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Everything in the data leans Venados's way at home, though favourites lose football matches every week.

Venados arrive on a real home run — 4 wins from the last 5 in the league, while both teams have scored in just 1 of Tepatitlán de Morelos's last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venados have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Venados and 1.00 for Tepatitlán de Morelos.

Venados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Kick-off Time

Venados play Tepatitlán de Morelos in the Mexico - Primera A on 13/09/2026, kick-off 02:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Venados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Venados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos is a Venados win at about 63% probability, priced 1.57 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Venados 63%, draw 20%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 16%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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