13/09/2026
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
⟳Odds and our pick may update before kickoff — check again closer to match time. This match may also enter or leave our daily prediction lists until kick-off; from kick-off, a listed pick is locked and stays published.
Progreso vs Cerro Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH —
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· fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
Progreso v Cerro — Team-Based Signals
SIGNALS
Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
Progreso vs Cerro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Progreso
3W-2D-1L
AWAY
Cerro
1.17
Avg Goals (FT)
0.67
54%
Ball Possession
46%
13
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
3
Yellow Cards
3
The Meetings
PREVIEW
Progreso vs Cerro
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW
Our model can't split Progreso and Cerro in any meaningful way; small margins will decide it.
The rivalry ledger says that across their last 6 meetings in our records, Progreso have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Progreso against 0.67 for Cerro.
Progreso vs Cerro Kick-off Time
Progreso play Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 13/09/2026, kick-off 16:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).
Progreso vs Cerro Match Prediction & Odds
Our model's prediction for Progreso vs Cerro is a Progreso win at about 40% probability, priced 2.28 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Progreso 40%, draw 31%, Cerro 29%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.
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URU
More Uruguay - Premier League
13 Sep 2026