Avusturya 5-1 Norveç — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.58
6+ Goals
10%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 29% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.62
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.2
X/1
14%
4.42
X/2
11%
7.78
X/X
11%
4.6
2/1
6%
24.85
2/2
14%
5.81
2/X
5%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avusturya EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Norveç EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +62% / +62%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% /
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
Crosses 6.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avusturya
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Norveç
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.60 xG 1.15
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
470 Passes 266
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2024 Norveç Norveç 2-1 HT 1-1 Avusturya Avusturya AVUL
18.11.2020 Avusturya Avusturya 1-1 HT 0-0 Norveç Norveç AVUL
04.09.2020 Norveç Norveç 1-2 HT 0-1 Avusturya Avusturya AVUL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avusturya
5-1
AWAY Norveç
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
503 Passes 230
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
POST-MATCH Avusturya vs Norveç
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avusturya cruised past Norveç 5-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Avusturya as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Avusturya had 66% of the ball to Norveç's 34%, shots finished 16-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Avusturya and 1.33 for Norveç.

What was the final score of Avusturya vs Norveç?

Avusturya 5-1 Norveç in the UEFA Uluslar League on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avusturya vs Norveç?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avusturya win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Avusturya 43%, draw 27%, Norveç 31%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avusturya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avusturya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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