Malta 1-0 Moldova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 13 Oct 2024

Malta
1-0
Moldova
📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
UEFA Uluslar League – 2024/2025

Malta vs Moldova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
30%
2.66
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.36
Over 2.5
32%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.4
No
64%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.83
2-3 Goals
41%
1.91
4-5 Goals
13%
7.87
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.19
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
13%
15.05
X/1
13%
5.11
X/2
4%
5.55
X/X
10%
2.94
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
27%
4.7
2/X
7%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.3pp
30%
Draw
34%
-4.3pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.5pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.3pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.3pp
36%
BTTS Yes
38%
-1.6pp
64%
BTTS No
62%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Malta v Moldova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malta EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Moldova EU Bookmakers 34%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +57% / +57%
1.28/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.37
-15% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / –
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
340 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 71%
12.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
18.3 Crosses 30.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 5.0

Malta vs Moldova Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malta
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Moldova
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.13 xG 1.96
45% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
323 Passes 459
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 29
8 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.09.2024 Moldova Moldova 2-0 HT 2-0 Malta Malta AVUL
24.03.2016 Malta Malta 0-0 HT 0-0 Moldova Moldova HAZ
17.10.2007 Malta Malta 2-3 HT 0-3 Moldova Moldova AVR
24.03.2007 Moldova Moldova 1-1 HT 0-0 Malta Malta AVR

Malta 1-0 Moldova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malta
1-0
AWAY Moldova
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
477 Passes 233
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
POST-MATCH Malta vs Moldova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malta edged past Moldova 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and on the day Malta made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, Malta had 63% of the ball to Moldova's 37%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Moldova led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Malta and 1.50 for Moldova.

What was the final score of Malta vs Moldova?

Malta 1-0 Moldova in the UEFA Uluslar League on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malta vs Moldova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Moldova win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Malta 34%, draw 30%, Moldova 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Moldova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Moldova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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